Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly survey summary.
With high temperatures across the country, it certainly feels like summer (although worrying if this extreme weather is the result of climate change hardly contributes to a laid back summer vibe). A growing portion of the US population fully vaccinated against the new coronavirus, states are lift or relax restrictions related to the pandemic and the the total number of new COVID-19 cases is decreasing. But will the next few months feel like a “normal” summer – barbecues, beach vacations, and all?
Not quite, according to recent polls.
In the happy days leading up to the pandemic of summer 2019, 69 percent of Americans said they planned to attend a barbecue to celebrate the 4th of July, according to a Monmouth University Survey as of June of that year. But this year, in a survey conducted from June 9 to 14Monmouth asked the same question and found that only 54 percent of Americans planned to go to a cookout. A Ipsos survey from June 22 to 23 captured similar sentiments, with a majority of Americans (55 percent) saying they planned to celebrate Independence Day in a similar way to last year, in a smaller way than before COVID-19 or not at all. However, 36 percent said they planned to celebrate like they did before COVID-19, and 8 percent said they planned to go bigger than ever.
Plans for other 4th of July celebrations have also waned this year, according to Monmouth, with 26 percent of Americans saying they planned to go to a professional fireworks display (compared to 51 percent in 2019) and the 18 percent saying they were going to a parade (versus 28 percent in 2019). Summer vacation plans haven’t fully recovered either: 34 percent of Americans said their plans were roughly the same as any other year, while 26 percent said they had reduced or canceled their usual getaway.
Politics Podcast: Summer Mailbag Edition | Five thirty eight
Although Americans may not be fully prepared for a “normal” summer, polls show that they are feeling more relaxed about the pandemic. in a Gallup Poll June 14-20, a majority (62 percent) said that their life had “somehow returned to normal”, while only 15 percent said they “had returned completely to normal.” That same poll found that 71 percent of Americans did not believe the pandemic was over yet, but most were optimistic about the direction it was heading: 89 percent said the coronavirus situation in the US was over. It was improving a lot or a little, compared to just 33 percent who felt that way in February. And for the first time since the start of the pandemic, the COVID-19 outbreak did not rank among the top two problems facing the United States according to a Gallup Poll June 1-18: 8 percent of Americans cited COVID-19 as the top problem in the country compared to 22 percent who cited the government and 11 percent who cited race relations.
Even the rise of the most transmissible delta variant coronavirus, which is causing public health experts guess the lifting of the mask commands – has not raised the concerns of Americans about COVID-19. Forty-eight percent said they were very or somewhat familiar with the variant, according to one Axios / Ipsos survey from June 25 to 28But few said they were changing their behavior: 68 percent had visited friends or family in the past week, 65 percent had gone out to eat, and 65 percent had gone to a store to buy more than groceries.
It can be a “Summer girl shot” And things are certainly getting back to a more normal routine than last year, but we may not see a full return to earlier times until 2022. Regardless of how you choose to celebrate the holidays (or not), for a long time for sure and encouraging. Weekend.
Other voting bites
- As we continue to await the results of the New York City Democrat primary mayor, Boston’s nonpartisan mayoral race is heating up. City Councilor Michelle Wu and Acting Mayor Kim Janey are the current pioneers, with 23 percent of likely voters favoring Wu and 22 percent favoring Janey, according to a June 23-26 poll by Suffolk University and The Boston Globe. In a crowded field of eight candidates, 22 percent were still undecided, but 70 percent backed one of the four candidates, all women of color. “Clearly the respondents tell us that history will be made,” David Paleologos, Director of the Center for Political Research at the University of Suffolk, told the Boston Globe. Janey became the first woman and the first black person to lead the city when she was sworn in as interim mayor in March, but Boston has yet to elect a black woman or person for the job.
- Like the partisan inquisition over the 2020 election results in Arizona comes to an end, mistrust in elections remains high among Republicans. According to a Hill-HarrisX Survey From June 24 to 25, 56 percent of registered Republican voters said President Biden had won the election through “voter fraud,” despite a lack of evidence. Additionally, 27 percent agreed with the statement that “statewide reviews of 2020 election results [would] change who is the president of the United States, ”even though reviews like the one that concludes in Arizona are partisan and not conducted with local election officials.
- In the past week, Britney Spears took the stand (virtual) in court to remove her father from her guardianship, delivering an emotional 24-minute testimony in which she claimed that her guardians refused to allow her to remove the IUD, marry her boyfriend, travel freely or choose her own therapist. Thursday, the judge denied your request to remove her father as co-conservator (although Spears may choose to file to dissolve the conservatorship entirely), but most Americans seem to be in the #FreeBritney train: In a YouGov poll conducted June 25-28, 65 percent supported “strongly” or “somewhat” their request to terminate guardianship.
- Working from home The number of Americans who have done their jobs during the pandemic has changed dramatically, and as offices begin to reopen, many workers say they prefer to quit to go back to a cubicle. Some companies are considering more flexible options, like working from home. a few days a week or even shorter workweeks: Kickstarter recently announced he was shifting to a four-day workweek, a notion many Americans find attractive. TO YouGov survey found that 66 percent of Americans preferred the idea of a four-day, 10-hour workweek compared to five eight-hour workdays, and a plurality of respondents (38 percent) said that a workweek of four days would increase their productivity (although 34 percent said they would not be more productive compared to working five days a week).
- The US intelligence community published a report on “unidentified aerial phenomena” last week, acknowledging that it could not explain or categorize 143 of 144 events of this type. While the report notes that there is no evidence that these sightings are indicative of extraterrestrial visitors, Americans are more willing to believe so. Most Americans (51 percent) said military UFO sightings are “definitely” or “probably” evidence that intelligent life exists beyond Earth, according to a Pew Research Center survey held from June 14 to 24. Sixty-five percent of adults said their best guess was that intelligent life exists on other planets, but 51 percent said UFOs are not a threat to national security. Keep your eyes peeled for more than just fireworks in the sky this weekend.
According to the FiveThirtyEight presidential approval tracker, 52.1 percent of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president, while 42.2 percent disapprove (a net approval rating of +9.9 points percentage). At this time last week, 52.6 percent approved and 42.2 percent disapproved (a net approval rating of +10.5 points). A month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 53.7 percent and a disapproval rating of 39.8 percent (a net approval rating of +13.9 points).