Former FDA Commissioner Criticizes CDC’s Delta Variant Modeling
Scott Gottlieb, Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration from 2017 to 2019, criticized the latest attempt by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) to model the trajectory of the delta variant of COVID-19 in the United States.
“The wide dispersion in the Delta wave forecasting models, released by the CDC, is deeply disappointing and unprovable,” he said, noting that the CDC seemed to have no ideas about whether we should expect case numbers to increase or return. next month.
The wide dispersion in the delta wave forecasting models released by the CDC is deeply disappointing and unprovable. The large variation in estimates shows that the CDC does not know how to model this wave and has little practical idea of whether we are at the beginning, the middle, or the end of the 1 / n. pic.twitter.com/FJvcjw6hVO
– Scott Gottlieb, MD (@ScottGottliebMD) July 24, 2021
“For the week ending August 14, the CDC estimates that there will be an average of 10,000 infections per day or more than 100,000. Either the wave of infection will greatly diminish or it will spiral out of control. The CDC is not sure, ”Gottlieb added.
Gottlieb called this “another symptom of a more systemic bureaucratic disease,” which is a “hindsight mindset.” According to the former Trump administration official, the CDC or a new agency should be more geared towards responding and solving problems.
“We lack an organized infrastructure to mobilize a response to the public health crisis,” Gottlieb lamented.
The seven-day average of recorded COVID cases per day was nearly 50,000 on Friday, an increase of more than 170 percent from two weeks ago. The numbers of hospitalizations and deaths have also seen increases, although much smaller.
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