Lin Minwang, a South Asian expert at Shanghai Fudan University, told Chinese state media on Monday that Beijing was being pragmatic: “How you want to rule your country is largely up to you, but don’t let that affect you. to China, “he said. .
But John Blaxland, a professor of international security at the Australian National University and a former director of Joint Intelligence Operations, said there were broader implications for the global order.
“It is a deeply chilling message about how the United States can change its mind and, despite the platitudes, fail to follow through,” he said. “It’s one that talks about an eclipse of the unipolar moment, talks about an eclipse of American power.”
Blaxland said Beijing’s recognition of the Taliban government was now a formality. The United States would probably follow.
“[The US and its allies] we have spent billions of dollars on the dust of Afghanistan and Iraq, “he said.
“The same trillions of dollars could possibly have been spent on a [Chinese] A similar initiative to the Belt and Road, or rehabilitation of American infrastructure that could have ensured American prosperity and stability so that we can all share in the future. “
Boris Ruge, vice chairman of the Munich Security Conference, the world’s largest security gathering, said Beijing would make “maximum use of the Afghanistan images to undermine the US network of allies and partners in the Indo-Pacific.”
“They have a lot of bad images to work with,” Ruge said after videos were broadcast around the world of desperate Afghans clinging to planes to get out of Kabul.
Republican Mike Waltz, an army veteran, said on Twitter that the chaotic end of the war sent a terrible message to other countries that felt threatened. “If you were in Taiwan or Ukraine right now watching all of this unfold, I’d be terrified to learn that this is how the United States will react under this administration,” he said.
But Ruge said the US withdrawal was also a conscious decision to end America’s longest war in order to focus resources where they are needed. “In the first place with regard to China,” he said. The Sydney Morning Herald Y Age.
The former deputy ambassador in Washington said the threat to Taiwan and Afghanistan was not comparable because the US withdrawal was part of the US shift from the Middle East to its immediate region.
“I think the people of Taiwan and Japan know that the United States is doing this because now they see the great challenge of power at the eastern end of the Eurasian landmass,” added Blaxland. “That is the most important challenge they must be prepared to respond to.”
In Kabul, the shifting balance of power is already taking place in the diplomatic sector.
The United States, Germany, Britain, Canada, Australia and India are among a dozen countries that have shut down their embassy operations since the Taliban began their advance on the capital.
The Chinese embassy remains open. “It is still functioning normally,” said Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying.