338Canada - Africa News Quick
  • September 5, 2021

338 Canada: Liberals Stop Bleeding, At Least

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest electoral projection shows that the two main parties are stagnant, although the Conservatives are still the favorites to win the most seats. Three weeks of this five-week federal campaign are now behind us. While the first two weeks were marked by a gradual and steady decline in support for the…

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2021 Federal Election: Polls show O’Toole the frontrunner. Voters don’t seem convinced.

Philippe J. Fournier: Conservatives are ahead, polls say. But they also tell us that many voters believe that Justin Trudeau will remain in power after the election. Last week, the three polling companies that have surveyed Canadians daily since the start of the campaign (viz. Nano Research, Mainstreet Research and EKOS) all measured a gradual…

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338 Canada: Conservatives Rise, Liberals Slide

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest 338 projection shows Liberals dropping two seats a day since the campaign began. Conservatives are the new favorites. It was (another) tough week for Justin Trudeau’s liberals in public opinion polls. The trends we observed in the first week of this short campaign continued and even intensified in the second…

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338 Canada: Liberals stumble out in first week

Philippe J. Fournier: After a week, our projection shows that the race tightens, support for the PND grows, and the odds of a liberal majority are narrowing. The first of this five-week campaign has come and gone. Although many observers have described the past seven days as rather disappointing, there were a plethora of federal…

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Liberals can’t afford voter apathy: 338

Philippe J. Fournier: A new Abacus poll points to growing pessimism with the government. It’s not a reassuring sign for Justin Trudeau and his team. Dissatisfaction with the federal government is on the rise, according to the most recent survey from Abacus Data, who was on the ground taking the pulse of Canadians when Justin…

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2021 Federal Elections: Meet Your Pollsters

This story was last updated on August 8, 2021 In his best-selling book Breaking the Quebec Code, Jean-Marc Léger wrote “Political polls represent about 1% of all my income, but they represent 99% of my problems”. So why do it then? For many market research firms, political polls serve as an efficient way to promote…

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A fall choice? Liberals may not have a better window.

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest model from 338Canada suggests that it will be a challenge for the liberals to get the majority, and it is unlikely that it will be easier Who is in the mood for a general election in Canada this fall? Not many of us, according to a recent Nanos Research survey…

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The Fragmentation of the Right in Alberta: 338 Canada

Phillippe J. Fournier: Alberta’s latest electoral projection puts the NDP in majority territory, with mounting evidence that the path to victory for the UCP in 2019 will not work out in 2023 When Mainstreet Research released its latest Alberta poll in May showing Wildrose’s Independence Party in third place with 17 percent of voting intentions…

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A summer election would be a risky gamble for Liberals: 338

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest projection of the federal elections shows that the Liberals do not reach the majority, with a result eerily similar to the results of the 2019 elections. If the rumors circulating around Parliament Hill in Ottawa are true, then Canadians will be called to vote in the 44th Canadian federal election…

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François Legault’s total dominance: 338 Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: In our latest projection, the CAQ party has more secure seats than the majority threshold. Meanwhile, the PQ continues to disintegrate. François Legault’s dominance in Quebec’s political landscape has not waned one iota since last winter, according to a new Léger poll published in Le Journal de Montreal last Friday. With just…

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