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338 Canada: Liberals Stop Bleeding, At Least

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest electoral projection shows that the two main parties are stagnant, although the Conservatives are still the favorites to win the most seats. Three weeks of this five-week federal campaign are now behind us. While the first two weeks were marked by a gradual and steady decline in support for the…

338 Canada: Conservatives Rise, Liberals Slide

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest 338 projection shows Liberals dropping two seats a day since the campaign began. Conservatives are the new favorites. It was (another) tough week for Justin Trudeau’s liberals in public opinion polls. The trends we observed in the first week of this short campaign continued and even intensified in the second…

338 Canada: Liberals stumble out in first week

Philippe J. Fournier: After a week, our projection shows that the race tightens, support for the PND grows, and the odds of a liberal majority are narrowing. The first of this five-week campaign has come and gone. Although many observers have described the past seven days as rather disappointing, there were a plethora of federal…

338 Canada: Trudeau’s Choice to Lose

Philippe J. Fournier: Most are within the reach of the liberals, but the current level of support from the NDP could still spoil their plans. After months of speculation, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau finally decided to put his entire chip in the electoral pot, betting that his handling of the pandemic so far (because no,…

Rand Paul’s wife bought shares in an attempt to make money from the pandemic

Perhaps at this point it would be easier to make a list of senators who have NOT tried to make money from the pandemic. Is Senator Rand Paul an inside trader? That’s another question thrown at the crank of conspiracy, logging, and pandemic misinformation after a very Belated disclosure of a stock move by Paul’s…

A fall choice? Liberals may not have a better window.

Philippe J. Fournier: The latest model from 338Canada suggests that it will be a challenge for the liberals to get the majority, and it is unlikely that it will be easier Who is in the mood for a general election in Canada this fall? Not many of us, according to a recent Nanos Research survey…

Conservative Amanda Carpenter wants Democrats not to bother cops with their ‘right to vote’ tricks

When bad people pass bad laws, people of good conscience should stand up and make a scene. It is what the late civil rights activist and House Representative John Lewis famously called “good problem”. LEWIS: Don’t get lost in a sea of despair. Be hopeful, be optimistic. Our fight is not the fight of a…

Canada, where vaccine acceptance is not political

Philippe J. Fournier: Unlike in the US, where enthusiasm for the vaccine shifts along partisan lines, a new poll shows Canadians of all stripes are widely supportive of the vaccine. Vaccination against COVID-19 continues to progress well across the country. At the time of this writing, nearly 60 percent of Canadians, and counting, have received…

Conservatives’ Big Climate Problem: 338 Canada

Philippe J. Fournier: The new data shows that on climate change, conservative supporters are very out of step with voters in every other major party in Canada. The debate around climate change and the urgency of implementing policies to act on it is increasingly becoming a partisan issue in Canada. Opinion polls have indicated a…